For every precinct in the state, we calculate how much the vote margin shifted due to changes in the composition of voters who turned out to vote in that election. Republicans have been executing this strategy for years; yet it’s been a winning strategy for the NC GOP only because Democratic base turnout doesn’t keep up in most years. [29] Dowless worked for McVicker again in the 2018 Republican primary and the general election for Sheriff. The interim director of Bladen County's Board of Elections denied her office paid Jessica Dowless, but a public records request revealed that to be untrue. President Donald Trump and Second Lady Karen Pence traveled to the district to campaign for Harris, while Representative John Lewis campaigned for McCready. "You should have no faith that person is going to do what you intended with that ballot.". [38], On December 5, 2018, Buzzfeed News detailed its independent investigative reporting of the alleged vote thefts, a practice that targeted southern rural elderly black voters in the 9th District congressional race. [35][36] Wake County District Attorney Lorrin Freeman said it was possible over 1,000 ballots had been destroyed. Kappler thinks a larger share will choose to vote early this year than in past midterm elections. [33], In Robeson County, the easternmost county in the 9th district, twice as many absentee ballots from African-American voters were not returned compared to white voters.
[63] In March 2019, the Public Integrity Section of the United States Department of Justice began to issue subpoenas for a federal grand jury investigation related to the case. [44][45], On January 2, 2019, the staff of the dissolved election board announced that they would continue the investigation, but delayed a January 11 hearing until a new election board is seated on January 31. NC House District 51 (Sanford area) is one of the competitive districts that did not flip in 2018. Election results annulled Dan Bishop elected in 2019. It’s not yet clear how … Supporters say it increases turnout, because it is significantly more convenient for most voters. McCrae Dowless tracked votes on yellow pads and used cash to pay his employees, including some family members. 32 in the country in voter turnout last year amid historically high totals nationwide.
[65], 2019 North Carolina's 9th congressional district special election, North Carolina's 9th congressional district, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Public Policy Polling (D-House Majority PAC), Inside The North Carolina Republican Vote Machine: Cash, Pills — And Ballots, New NC elections board sets date for 9th District hearing, "New election ordered in North Carolina House district after possible illegal activities", "Crowded field vies for 9th Congressional District seat", "All eyes on Nov. 6 will be on District 9: Harris vs. McCready", "North Carolina GOP congressman loses primary, first House incumbent ousted", "Man at center of North Carolina election fraud probe turned in hundreds of absentee ballot requests – CNNPolitics", "Democratic challenger's big bank account might mean a tough House race for Pittenger", "In Pittenger-McCready race, who would dish out the stress? What would that look like in North Carolina? The North Carolina State Board of Elections voted 9–0 on November 27 not to certify the election results. Democratic candidate McCready publicly called for the fraud investigation to continue. The 2018 election in North Carolina's 9th congressional district was held on November 6, 2018, to elect a member for North Carolina's 9th congressional district to the United States House of Representatives. If Democrats can drive a similar turnout surge in a Presidential election year, they can sweep every statewide race and retake the majority in the NC House. On December 28, in an unexpected decision, the court dissolved the election board, before it had certified election results, accusing the board of ignoring court instructions.
What actually does happen, as allegedly illustrated in the race for North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, is vote-by-mail fraud. People who closely watch North Carolina’s voting patterns say they expect a final turnout figure that beats the last blue moon election, in 2006. In the districts that flipped in 2018, the composition of voters who turned out and the composition of registered voters who stayed home look far more similar to each other than in other parts of the state. [55] Republican Mark Harris, an evangelical minister, defeated incumbent Congressman Robert Pittenger in the primary and faced Democrat Dan McCready, a veteran and businessman, in the general election.
Such handling of ballots and completed applications by other than board and postal workers is legally prohibited. This improvement is shown in the “Change in Outcome” column of the table. Our 742,000 target voters in North Carolina include: 377,000 voters under 35 457,000 non-white voters, including 369,000 African-American voters 58,000 Latinx … [4] The district has been held by the Republican Party since 1963.
Through September 30, McCready reported raising $4.3 million while Harris had raised $1.6 million. CHARLOTTE, NC — The 2018 midterms election is shaping up to be one for the record books in North Carolina, especially when it comes to voter turnout.
Harris currently leads Democrat Dan McCready by 905 votes in the unofficial vote tally, but the state board is looking into whether the count is tainted by fraud, and whether a new election needs to be called.
This was an especially remarkable feat considering North Carolina’s extremely gerrymandered legislative maps (which were finally ruled unconstitutional this past September) and the fact that Republicans typically have a substantial turnout advantage in midterm elections. [23] The next night, trailing by about 2,000 votes, McCready conceded defeat to Harris. Initial tallies put Harris 905 votes ahead, but the state election board refused to certify the results, pending a criminal investigation into allegations of fraud in handling of absentee ballots.
The numbers aren't finalized for 2018 yet, but in the 2016 presidential election, the percentage of people who voted by mail had more than doubled compared to two decades prior. “We’re already a third of the way there,” said Jonathan Kappler, executive director of the North Carolina Free Enterprise Foundation.
This change was driven both by a greater portion of left-leaning voters turning out in 2018 and an increasing pool of registered left-leaning voters in Mecklenburg County. Elections officials have so far accepted ballots from just more than 9 percent of black registered voters. But a News & Observer analysis of data from the North Carolina elections board found no clear evidence of a blue wave. Our 92 field staff will turn out voters in the races for Governor, Senate, and President.
False", "First Baptist's Mark Harris to step aside as he considers another bid for Congress", "North Carolina Rep. Pittenger loses primary", "US House of Representatives District 09 Rep (Vote for 1)", "US House District 9 debate: Dan McCready, Mark Harris", "Trump urges votes for GOP candidates in Charlotte rally: 'Let's not take a chance, "District 9, North Carolina State Board of Elections & Ethics Enforcement", "Harris, McCready race too close to call", "Dan McCready concedes NC District 9 race to Mark Harris", "NC elections board refuses to certify 9th District race, leaving it in limbo", "NC officials vote to hold hearing over alleged fraud in U.S. House race", "Second woman says she was paid to collect absentee ballots in North Carolina House race", "North Carolina elections board delays certification of congressional election results again", Man at center of North Carolina election fraud probe turned in hundreds of absentee ballot requests, Meet the four candidates for Bladen County sheriff, "Who is McCrae Dowless, man who appears to be center of 9th District investigation?
A Black Wisconsin police officer who fatally shot a Black teenager outside a suburban Milwaukee mall in February will not be charged in his death. More North Carolinians are now registered as unaffiliated than as Republican. [14], On February 21, Harris admitted that he had made inaccurate statements in his testimony, blaming a recent sepsis infection that had affected his memory and caused him to have two strokes. [4] Harris criticized Pittenger for voting in favor of the March 2018 omnibus spending bill, and claimed Pittenger was part of the "Washington swamp". This midterm-to-midterm comparison also reveals significant gains relative to 2014 in the competitive districts that did not flip – while showing that there remains significant opportunity to grow base turnout in these areas and flip competitive GOP-held districts in 2020.
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